Internet Video vs DVRs Advertising and Measuring Online Video
Is a commercial only worth paying for when its viewed live, during its run in a broadcast ? Should a commercial only be worth paying for if its viewed within 3 days of its broadcast ? Are there viewings of commercials from a DVR that are not worth paying for, or should the price be different dependent on when its viewed ?
These may ultimately be only negotiations to get the best possible price for a commercial, but what I find interesting is the silence when it comes to the impact these discussions may have on internet video advertising.
Very, very little video viewing online is streaming video of live programming. Internet video viewing is almost exclusively from on demand sources.
So riddle me this. If the Internet is the ultimate DVR for video, will advertisers put comparable pricing parameters on internet video that they are trying to put on TV DVR commercial viewing ?
If they do, and only pay for videos viewed within 3 days of the video being posted, won't that put a huge crimp in the internet video business ?
Of coures the argument is that they wont put a deadline on viewing for which they will pay, but how can they not create a pricing hierarchy ?
Currently online video advertising seems to be sold by the playback. An advertiser buys X number of views at a given CPM.or buy price , to be played in , in front of, around , next to or after specific or a range of content..
What is not known for larger buys is just how long it will take to fulfill the buy. Minutes. Days. Weeks ? It depends .
What we do know is that the amount of video inventory is literally exploding and pricing is coming down. I think its going to be impacted by the outcome of DVR valuations. That there will be and should be timing constraints put on delivery. If an ad is delivered within the first 3 days, its full price. From there, it comes down because the value comes down.
It will be interesting to see what happens.
One more topic I want to cover briefly. That is measuring audience of online video. This is actually very simple, and video content hosts are hiding the important data that advertisers need and should be using.
The only real numbers that matters to define the audience of a video hosting site are the maximum number of
simultaneous viewers in any given hour and the average number of simultaneous viewers. Every other number, whether its views, "streams started", whatever is meaningless and misleading. Just ask their bankers which number is more important, the maximum number of streams they wlil serve and the resulting bandwidth peaks, or the number of views they get.
If you want to compare the popularity of Youtube vs AOL Video, get them to publish these numbers, or give 3rd parties the ability to monitor these stats. They certainly monitor them to manage their bandwidth, so its easy for them to do..
This is the only true way to gauge relative popularity. Every other number is BS.
The same concept could be applied to regular websites as well. The number of simultaneous connections will tell you just how popular the site is.
Advertisers have growing leverage. It will be interesting to see how they use it.
Recent Posts
- Where did all the good tech discussions go ? (8/28/2008)
- My Olympics 2016 Business and Technology Predictions (8/25/2008)
Reader Comments
(Page 1)2. Screw advertisers. Make TV entertainment subscription based. HBO is doing just fine with that business model. In fact, they're doing more than "just fine". They have consistently better product than any "viewers at broadcast" business model. Here's my $5/mo. Make shows that you know are quality. If I like a few of them, I'll keep paying.
Posted at 8:33PM on Jun 2nd 2007 by Keith
3. The issue with paying for delayed commercial viewing in TV is that the commercials can not be changed from the original telecast. This is not an issue online and eventually will not be in TV.
Posted at 9:55PM on Jun 2nd 2007 by angus
4. The viewing window for broadcast commercials depends on the message. If it's a movie trailer running the week before the movie releases the three day window makes sense. But if it's a "feel good about my product" ad such as many of the Southwest airlines ads the time frame can be much longer. As for online ads, I don't pay any attention to them at all. I do make note of the really obnoxious ones that manage to get past my blockers. The note I make is to never buy that product or service.
Posted at 10:50PM on Jun 2nd 2007 by MIke Genette
5. I think you're right about the advertisers having growing leverage. I'd probably be ok with full fare counting +7 instead of +3. The thing I'm interested in, the thing Nielsen didn't share accept with clients is the actual spot by spot ratings. I want to see how the spots during the middle of the break periods do versus the spot at the end of the break (for those watching live). If you're a client of Nielsen and got any data on that, please share!
That it's 2007 and sites still get away reporting #'s that don't matter at all...it just seems so 1997. Why do the advertisers let them get away with it?
Posted at 12:25AM on Jun 3rd 2007 by Robert Seidman
6. "So riddle me this. If the Internet is the ultimate DVR for video, will advertisers put comparable pricing parameters on internet video that they are trying to put on TV DVR commercial viewing ?"
internet video is not dvr, internet on demand video would have a completely different ad cost model. The ads placed in on youtube for instance would change, they would not be constant. (or at least that is how i envision it as the server is controlled by the host. I am defining internet TV as YouTube, joost, and any online video derived from a host server, not a personal device as DVR.)
Also, your premise of simultaneous video viewing does not make too much sense (regarding the relavence w/the cost of the ad). If you watch a video, you watch the ad. that ad gets exposed to a potential consumer. if a video is viewed 500,000 times why would the ad be relavent if it is being viewed at the same time as others are viewing it? (especially is the ad changes) the 'simultaneous viewed' concept dismisses the 'on-demand' premise.
but the premis of your article all depends on how the ads will be delivered and controled by the internet video hosts.
but, then again, i "don't have a clue".
7. Statistics show that advertising on DVR do work - even when they fast forward through them. http://money.cnn.com/2006/04/07/technology/business2_browser0407/index.htm
8. Advertising in Internet videos should demand premium pricing. I rarely rewind a DVR-recorded show for a commercial but I don't mind watching a minute of commercials to catch up on an episode of "My Name is Earl" on lunch with my other co-workers in the office.
The Internet is the last place where commercial advertising is really being accepted by viewers right now and that's mostly because of the novelty of the medium. In the future, advertisers are going to have to pitch and pander far more to be included directly in the content of shows, movies, films and books (ala Snapple in Seinfeld).
Posted at 8:20AM on Jun 3rd 2007 by Joshua Minton
9. Advertising has always been sold on the basis of "time slots" in TV and radio, or "position" in newspapers and magazines. Audience demographics is the major factor in all advertising mediums.
The Internet turns all the normal advertising factors on their head. On demand Internet viewers have no concept of time slots. Position on the page is not as important as relevence to the content of the page.
The Internet is the only advertising medium that has real verifiable viewer statistics. Every other advertising medium is using statistical extrapolations of very sketchy data to guess at the size and demographic of the viewing audience.
I do not understand your point about simultaneous viewers on the web. I don't see how that is relevent or indicitive of popularity, versus total views. In fact, I would argue the opposite. The real measure of how popular a piece of content is should be measured by views after the initial hype period. Content that continues to be viewed long after the hype is very valuable indeed.
Auctions determine the price of ads on Google and other Internet sites. Auctions are coming to audio and video too. Time slot pricing will fade over time as more advertising moves to the "On Demand" web.
Don Dodge
10. Hey Mark, Although veiwing anything on the PC vs the big tube is the sit down dinner vs the fast food thing, one of the reasons I like seeing something online is that its more concise and you can usually come back to it. Also the lack of commercials and being able to block those Popups. When a thirty second commercial does come on before I view something I usually just block it out for that time and wait for what I wanted to see. As on the tube. Advertisements have to be at least as clever if not more then TV to pay them any attention. Thanks for the thoughts. P.S. It may just be me but I still havent heard any uproar about any injustice served to the Duke guys. How quickly we forget unless its popular to remember.
Posted at 8:12PM on Jun 3rd 2007 by Frankie from Lawnside
11. There's an apples and oranges comparison here. Videos are ran over and over again each day. Plus, because they're within an optimized webpage, they're looked up in a search engine. Thus, if the video concerns a Paris Hilton issue that is discussed on the TV news, the search for that will go up, and thus cause a new round of views for the applicable video.
For the video meter to stop running in this case would be unfair and not negotiable from the standpoint of the video producer. A commercial withing a video, or a sponsored video is part of the video. Thus, it "moves" with the video -- if the video is found on Mamma.com, the ad will be there, and so on.
See...
http://zennie2005.blogspot.com/2007/06/mark-cuban-says-advertisers-have.html
Posted at 2:09AM on Jun 4th 2007 by Zenophon Abraham
12. Question: So riddle me this. If the Internet is the ultimate DVR for video, will advertisers put comparable pricing parameters on internet video that they are trying to put on TV DVR commercial viewing ?
Answer: It won't matter. The technology is now there to do on demand, targeted advertising on both platforms - Internet and DVD, as well as VOD. This will allow fresh content to be displayed regardless of when the live broadcast of the program was. The price structure will be completely different because there will be different ad types than the standard commercials that you see now. In case your thinking Google, don't think that if you're talking about long form video.
Question: If they do, and only pay for videos viewed within 3 days of the video being posted, won't that put a huge crimp in the internet video business ?
Answer: See previous answer.
Question: Of coures the argument is that they wont put a deadline on viewing for which they will pay, but how can they not create a pricing hierarchy ?
Answer: The pricing hierarchy will be way different than you are thinking of.
Statement: One more topic I want to cover briefly. That is measuring audience of online video. This is actually very simple, and video content hosts are hiding the important data that advertisers need and should be using.
Response: They will be using that data soon.
Statement: The only real numbers that matters to define the audience of a video hosting site are the maximum number of
simultaneous viewers in any given hour and the average number of simultaneous viewers. Every other number, whether its views, "streams started", whatever is meaningless and misleading. Just ask their bankers which number is more important, the maximum number of streams they wlil serve and the resulting bandwidth peaks, or the number of views they get.
Answer: Sure, bandwidth is a cost they will incur, but new ad types and targeting will allow them to recover these costs and more on the Internet. Mostly because the players are getting much more cost efficient while allowing for TV viewing quality. Other than that, simultaneous viewing will mean nothing here in the short future unless the ad campaign is targeted for a very specific time frame.
Statement: If you want to compare the popularity of Youtube vs AOL Video, get them to publish these numbers, or give 3rd parties the ability to monitor these stats. They certainly monitor them to manage their bandwidth, so its easy for them to do..
Response: I thought we were talking long form video, not UGC.
Statement: Advertisers have growing leverage. It will be interesting to see how they use it.
Answer: This will be the case for this years upfronts and possibly next years. But, as soon as the technology I'm talking about it deployed, the leverage will be back in the programmer's hands.
Mark, if you want to know the specifics I'm talking about, email me.
Posted at 2:35AM on Jun 4th 2007 by Tyler
13. Advertisements have to be at least as clever if not more then TV to pay them any attention. It will be interesting to see how they use it.It won't matter. The technology is now there to do on demand, targeted advertising on both platforms - Internet and DVD, as well as VOD.
Posted at 6:43AM on Jun 4th 2007 by wow power leveling
14. I truly believe that internet publishers fail to grasp the power of their medium.
They are selling ads very similar to the way TV ads are sold, and the best reason I can come up with is that is because it is how the ad industry best understands it and how it has always been.
Not atypically, we are seeing very little innovation from existing leaders. The innovative companies of the last decade who are fat and bureaucratic are going to milk their current position rather than figure out a way to make another few billion. They might buy the answer, but if the person with the answer grasps the magnitude of the answer it will not be cheap.
Does anyone really think that the next great internet advertising idea is going to come from Google, Yahoo, Microsoft , Ebay or Interactive? (ask always gets the short end of the stick, so I thought I would throw them some love. LOL)
The internet provides no less than 5 unique ideas for changing the way a viewer watches ads. The innovation is not however going to come from an existing big player. Rather it will come from an entity that has no desire to serve the same old ads to its consumers, an entity that takes chances because they really have no other options.
Make the ads integrate nicely into the experience of the site, allow the viewer a voice in what kind of ads they like or dont like (example - easily let Geico know you hate the damn Gecko but love the Caveman...if Geico knew that, would they show you Gecko ads? let Geico segment its customers into gecko lovers and caveman people and those who are either tires of or dont like either - which lets them know when an ad is no longer effective) or would a financial institution advertise differently to a current customer than they do to a non-customer (why show a current customer an ad when they already use your product, why not a thanks we appreciate your business and here is a special offer only for existing customers...), best of all make the ads an expected and welcome part of the site. (Privacy issues are not a concern if structured properly)
As an advertiser wouldn't the best possible outcome be that ads are not only expected, but enjoyed and anticipated?
This(and much, much more)is all possible on the internet with the right vision. After brainstorming this very concept to death for 3 months, I finally have a workable model that addresses the wants and desires of consumers, as well as the needs of advertisers - both brand and direct response.
Unlike most 2.0 ideas this one actually has a damn fine revenue model. I am in negotiations with seed investors, mostly trying to determine if I even need capital and want the dilution. It is so cheap to execute good ideas these days, too bad Texas makes it hard to cash-out equity from your home...
Regardless, the existing online powerhouses are not where we should expect to see innovation from, it is the little 3 man ideas in Southlake, Texas or Lafayette, Indiana or Mobile, Alabama that are most likely to revolutionize the advertising industry.
Posted at 11:12AM on Jun 4th 2007 by Diorex
15. Running an advertisement on television is way more effective because of the limited selection. You can turn the channel only 300 times. The internet is endless and still viewed as the future, and frankly it is. Television has a 75 year headstart and paying for advertising on the internet is pointless. There is no "captive" audience, and never will be. Some people work for a living and sitting in front of a computer is called work, not play time. Television is playtime! Computers, internet=work Television=play Were not all loser nerds like you who play on the computer. Advertisers want to catch people at play not work, so take all of your analysis and stop thinking so hard.
Posted at 1:07PM on Jun 4th 2007 by jeff
16. "The only real numbers that matters to define the audience of a video hosting site are the maximum number of simultaneous viewers in any given hour and the average number of simultaneous viewers."
Mark: i don't agree with this statement. Efficiency is an important part of the equation. if i can have 1000 concurrent for 24 hours vs. 24K for 1 hour ... i'll take the efficiency. i can sell the same ads against this. what am i missing? - dave
Posted at 1:28PM on Jun 4th 2007 by david samuel
17. With the new technologies that are coming out, TV will have a more internet like experience and the internet will be able to have TV quality content. On top of that, the fact that the ads will be targeted will make them much more interesting as well as the new types of ads that will be replacing the 30 second commercial in the middle of the program.
Posted at 2:32PM on Jun 4th 2007 by Tyler
18. Hi, I dont think Neilson is providing the complete picture of media consumption both online and offline, there are lot of changes in this marketplace after Neilson installed their meters and panels all over the world.. lot of consumption happens on bit torrents and other online gateways. Neilson is not anywhere close to those audience and have no clue about emerging markets all around the globe.
Currently, only company that comes close to providing such info is divinity Metrics.. lots of record labels, television networks and movie studios are using these metrics for audience discovery, effective marketing, promotions etc..
you can check them our at http://divinityMetrics.com
Cheers..
19. i think the DVRs will be sure to quit this market,internet is trend,nothing can stop it.I would bet this is just important right now because they aren't used to counting views or cpm advertising. If the ad is time critical obvious the situation certainly changes and the simultaneous viewers is the only reasonable way to measure their exposure.
Posted at 7:46PM on Jun 4th 2007 by wow power leveling
20. I sort of agree that the "Internet is the ultimate DVR for video", but I gotta think that this is still years away (maybe 4) before the computer replaces the DVR in many houses.
Posted at 10:53AM on Jun 8th 2007 by Dave Dugdale

1. I think using only product placement is the way to go. You certainly can't tivo over it, you could still pay based on views and just give a time limit on how many months/years your willing to per per view.
Posted at 7:51PM on Jun 2nd 2007 by online cigarettes